3.20 Bank groups are protean—not only are they very different one from another, but also they may change significantly as the business of the bank changes. As should have been clear from the foregoing, generalization about ‘bank groups’ are impossible because each large bank group is to some extent unique, and even simple generalizations about ‘the holding company’ or ‘the group’ are liable to counterexamples. However, it is to some extent possible to separate bank groups into broad types, and we suggest here a taxonomy which may enable some progress to be made in addressing resolution options.
3.21 For the purposes of the examples that follow, we have divided creditors into three broad types:
Banking creditors, meaning retail and wholesale depositors and creditors arising out of the provision by the bank of payment and custody services;
Investment business creditors, meaning swap counterparties, trading counterparties, exchanges, clearing systems, and other investment business counterparties (including repurchase agreement (repo) counterparties).
Capital structure creditors, meaning long-term unsecured creditors of the bank, including bondholders and other long-term unsecured finance providers.
3.22 In Figure 3.4 we see a more or less ‘empty’ holding company holding a bank with a large balance sheet. Assets not held within the bank itself will generally be held by subsidiaries of the bank. Funding is likely to be raised primarily at the bank level, since any funding raised at the holding company level is structurally subordinated to funding raised at the bank level. However, regulators will require a certain type and amount of financial funding to be raised at the holdco level, (p. 34) since this will be the first in the firing line in the event of single-point-of-entry (SPE) resolution at the holdco level. In general derivatives, markets and trading business will all be done out of the bank rather than the holdco, since the bank will be the most creditworthy member of the group and will ensure that counterparties have the lowest risk exposure (and therefore the lowest costs of dealing with it).
3.23 In the context of this institution, two issues arise. One is that it is unlikely that short-term unsecured investment business creditors will be written down through the resolution mechanism, as long as the bank group has sufficient capital structure liabilities to absorb losses and fully recapitalize the bank group. This is because avoiding such write-downs is likely to maximize the residual value of the bank for the benefit of its capital structure financial creditors, reduce the risk of runs that could destabilize the banking system, and allow operations that are critical to the market to be continued—three important policy objectives for the resolution authority. Further, short-term unsecured bank depositors are also unlikely to be written down for similar reasons, as long as the group has sufficient capital structure liabilities to absorb losses.
3.24 Mechanically, resolving the holdco model is in some respects the easiest challenge. If creditors are at the level of the holdco, it is a relatively simple matter to extinguish their claims and issue them with new shares in the holdco. The holdco’s assets can then be downstreamed to the bank.
3.25 The position of creditors of the holding company is not, however, as simple as it seems. Orthodox corporate finance would dictate that by becoming creditors of the holdco, they have voluntarily accepted a position where they are structurally subordinated to creditors of the bank. It is therefore highly arguable that such creditors should be written down first before direct creditors of the bank are affected. However, most creditors of holdcos assume that status as a result of diligent enquiry as to the credit standing of the holdco concerned. If the structure of that holdco was that all of the funding which it raised would be downstreamed as equity, it would be clear that they were in fact no more than synthetic equity investors in the relevant subsidiary.
3.26 This is not, however, the position of any bank holding company in real life. Bank regulators have been concerned for many decades about the idea of ‘double leverage’—that is, the situation where a parent raises debt capital and downstreams it to its subsidiary as equity capital, thereby enabling the subsidiary to raise more debt on the strength of its enhanced equity capital position. The regulatory tool which is usually applied to prohibit this is consolidated supervision, which requires that a bank group should have sufficient equity at the consolidated level to meet the risks on its total asset portfolio. A bank group which engaged in significant double leveraging would in general simply cease to meet its consolidated capital ratio and be closed down by its regulators. In addition to this, rating agencies generally (p. 35) publish for any rated bank group a ‘double leverage ratio’ which makes clear to investors the extent to which debt has actually been downstreamed as equity. The upshot of all of this is that a person who becomes a creditor of a holdco in fact does so on the basis that (a) it is highly likely that money attributable to debt financing will be downstreamed as debt and not as equity, and (b) that although the person has no direct controls or covenants to ensure that outcome, she can in general rely on regulators to ensure that it is done, and on rating agencies to tell her if it is not done.
3.27 What follows from all of this is that to say that a creditor of a bank holdco has voluntarily accepted the status of a subordinated creditor of the holdco’s subsidiaries is in some way wide of the mark. Unless corporate finance law in the jurisdiction of the subsidiary deems intragroup creditors to be subordinated to external creditors,3 or intragroup creditors contractually agree to be subordinated to external creditors, intragroup creditors are entitled to no worse treatment than the treatment which would be accorded to any other creditor of the subsidiary concerned. This position is illustrated in Figure 3.5.
3.28 The senior creditors of the holdco would expect the holdco as internal creditor of the bank to be in exactly the same position as the external creditors of the bank. The bank has, in aggregate, 200 creditors; if it fails, those creditors are entitled to be treated pari passu, and the recoveries of the holdco as internal creditor will be no different from those of the external creditors of the bank—if the external bank creditors recover 50 cents on the dollar, the holdco can expect to recover the same on its internal credit to the bank.(p. 36)
3.29 The difference, of course, is that in order to recapitalize the bank subsidiary, it will be necessary for the holdco to downstream assets to the bank, including by forgiving any internal credit to the bank, with the external holdco creditors being written down to the extent the remaining assets of the parent (including its ownership in the recapitalized bank) are insufficient to satisfy all of the claims of the external holdco creditors. There are fundamentally two options here. One is to write down all creditors of the bank equally. This could result in the bank passing outside the holdco group, since the aggregate amount of the claims of the external senior creditors of the bank could be greater than the amount of the holdco’s claims on its internal credit to the bank. The other is to discriminate between different creditors—internal and external, bank and group—according to some other plan. The key issue here is that if creditors come to believe that the latter might be the approach taken, it will be extremely difficult for them to value their investments unless the authority concerned is prepared to make a clear statement as to what that plan may be, and to stick to it in practice.
3.30 In Figure 3.6 we see the traditional European bank structure, in which a large bank is itself the top company of the group. Assets not held within the bank itself will generally be held by subsidiaries of the bank. Funding is raised primarily at the bank level, although secured creditors may be creditors of ringfenced subsidiaries. In general, the ‘big bank’ is likely to do its derivatives, markets, and trading business out of the main legal entity, since this will be the most creditworthy member of the group and will ensure that counterparties have the lowest risk exposure (and therefore the lowest costs of dealing with it).
3.31 In Figure 3.7 we see a holding company which owns a bank and a non-bank investment firm. These activities are likely to be ringfenced by local legislation into a ‘bank chain’ and a ‘non-bank chain’, with restrictions on transactions between the two sides of the group below the level of the holding company. In this case, it is more likely that significant capital structure liabilities may have been incurred at (p. 37) the parent company level, since lenders at that level will have access to a larger asset pool than lenders to the bank. It is possible that significant capital structure liabilities will have been incurred at the bank level. Indeed, it is possible that all three components—the bank, the investment firm, and the holding company—may have incurred capital structure liabilities.
3.32 We need to begin with a hypothesis as to where in the group the loss has been incurred. For the purposes of this chapter we will assume that the loss has been incurred in the banking part of the group.
3.33 At the level of the bank itself, the issues here are no different from the ‘big bank’ model. Considering the position of the investment firm immediately raises the ‘dead in parts’ problem. It should be remembered that in this context it is highly likely that the bank and the investment firm will share the same branding, the same advertising campaign, and the same IT, processing, and payment systems. As a result, it may well be the case that the survival of the investment firm will be entirely dependent on the survival of the bank. Clearly, if the resolution can be conducted entirely at the group level, that is likely to be the optimal solution.
3.34 In Figure 3.8 is a more or less empty holding company that owns a number of banks—generally incorporated in different jurisdictions and subject to some degree of restrictions on their interconnection. In this case, it is likely that at least some capital structure liabilities have been incurred at the holding company level, although it is likely that some (but perhaps not all) of the subsidiary banks will also have incurred some external capital structure liabilities.
3.35 Resolving the global multi-bank is more interesting than in the previous cases. The architecture of the global multi-bank is generally in response to pressures from national regulators who require national businesses to be undertaken by separately capitalized local subsidiaries. Since we have hypothesized that the holding company is ‘empty’ (i.e. has no economic activity of its own), it must follow that the loss causing the crisis must have been experienced in one or other of the bank subsidiaries. The effect of a write-down of the holdco’s capital (p. 38) structure liabilities is to create new equity at the holdco. The holdco can create new equity at the bank which has suffered the loss by forgiving intra-group debts owed by the bank to the holding company in respect of funding previously received. However, if the holding company has insufficient assets that can be downstreamed (including an insufficient amount of intragroup receivables to forgive) to the troubled subsidiary bank in order to recapitalize the bank, there could in extremis arise the possibility of bailing in external capital structure financial creditors of the troubled bank in order to recapitalize the troubled bank. It might even be possible to bail in any external capital structure financial creditors of the sister banks and distribute any of their excess assets to the bank that needs to be recapitalized.
3.36 The permutations in this regard are complex and difficult. Considering the group above, if Bank A gets into trouble and its own capital structure liabilities are insufficient to recapitalize it, should the capital structure creditors of Bank B be called on? If they are, how does the capital get transferred from Bank B to Bank A? What if Bank C (which has no eligible debt) gets into difficulties—should the capital structure creditors of Banks A or B be written down and their excess assets be contributed to Bank C to recapitalize it? To complicate matters further, if the resolution of Bank A results in majority control of Bank A being transferred to the capital structure creditors of Bank A, those creditors may take advantage of their status as the controlling shareholders of Bank A to restrain the new capital thus created from being transferred elsewhere within the group.
3.37 It is clear that these are no more than illustrations of broad classes of group structures, and it should also be clear that in each case the theoretical deployment of (p. 39) exposures would be dependent primarily on the type and volume of funding raised at each legal entity within the group.